There’s a week to go before the UK General Election 2015 and the improbable outcome is starting to look more likely.
First of all though I’ll put my cards on the table: I’m an Englishman living in Scotland, I voted Yes in the referendum and I’ll vote SNP next week. Now you know where I stand.
We are looking at a probable situation of no political party able to form a majority government and a large block of SNP MPs, just about all commentators agree on this. There will be a handful of MPs from other parties but insufficient for either main party to form a working majority. There is a general assumption that any Party would need the support of the SNP (explicit or tacit) to form a Government. However, this is not necessarily the case, it is possible for a minority party to rule as long as it can get a Queen’s Speech and (for practical purposes) a budget passed.
So what is this improbable outcome. Given the threat of the SNP wielding significant influence, enough to threaten the neo-con concensus of austerity politics espoused by the main parties, those parties close ranks to exclude the SNP from any influence. There doesn’t have to be any formal agreement for this to happen, all that is required is for the largest opposition party to abstain on the critical votes thereby ensuring the necessary legislation passes. On the television tonight the leader of the Labour Party ruled out working with the SNP, even if this meant the Tory Party became the Government. With a mainstream press supporting this anti-Scot, pro-austerity position the damage this would cause Labour could be limited. The Westminster establishment is about to overtly exclude the people of Scotland from decision making in Westminster. They are preparing to break up the very Union they begged us to remain part of to maintain their power.
AUNG SAN SUU KYI, Freedom from Fear